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Autor Tópico: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.  (Lida 5209245 vezes)

Smog

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37080 em: 2024-06-10 21:25:29 »
A crise da inflação está controlada. Agora tudo focado nas guerras. As eleições destes anos são determinantes no desenvolvimento das ditas. A ver...
wild and free

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37081 em: 2024-06-10 21:57:47 »
Qto a inflação estar controlada, duvido... but let's hope so!   :-\

Qto às eleições de Nov.º, sim acredito q serão mto importantes!
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37082 em: 2024-07-24 22:44:50 »
About several economic topics:

Monetary System Revolution on The Horizon with Adam Rozencwajg - WTFinance

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oJTVAL-iO1w&t=1s
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37083 em: 2024-07-25 17:43:31 »
«The Percentage Of Americans That Worry They Won't Be Able To Pay Their Bills Is Higher Than It Was During The Great Recession

Tyler Durden's Photo

by Tyler Durden

Thursday, Jul 25, 2024 - 12:20 PM


Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse,


Do you remember how painful the Great Recession was?  2008 and the years immediately following were definitely a very dark chapter in our history, but a new study has actually found that the percentage of Americans that worry they won’t be able to pay their bills is actually higher today than it was back then.  Slowly but surely, our economic strength has been fading and our standard of living has been falling.  Unfortunately, now we have reached a point where a very large portion of the U.S. population is really struggling.

According to a CNN poll that was just released, almost 40 percent of all U.S. adults “say they worry most or all of the time that their family’s income won’t be enough to meet expenses”…

    Many Americans regularly worry they won’t be able to make ends meet.

    Nearly four in ten (39%) of US adults say they worry most or all of the time that their family’s income won’t be enough to meet expenses, according to a new CNN poll. That’s up from 28% who expressed those concerns in December 2021, and it’s similar to the numbers seen during the Great Recession (37%).

    To cope, significant shares of Americans said they are adding side jobs, cutting down on driving and putting more expenses on credit cards.

If you would have asked me before I saw the results, I would have been quite confident that the number during the Great Recession would have been higher than the number in 2024.

Just like everyone else, I remember the Great Recession as such a painful time.

Sadly, the economic pain that we are experiencing now is just beginning.

Ordinary Americans from coast to coast are being absolutely crushed by rising prices, and that isn’t going to change any time soon.

In an article that CNN posted about this new survey, one woman that works for the CDC admitted that she was recently forced to move because costs have risen so aggressively…

    “The grocery store is just outrageous right now. But it’s not just that. Everything has gone up. Clothing. My insurance,” said Angela Russell, an Ohio resident who works as a program analyst at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

    Russell, who has two adult children and three grandkids, said she recently moved out of her rental home in Cincinnati in favor of one in a rural area where the rent is cheaper.

Other recent surveys have come up with results that are even more alarming.

For example, one discovered that a whopping 71 percent of Americans are stressed out about their “ability to afford everyday expenses”…

    71% of Americans say they’re stressed by their ability to afford everyday expenses.

    Americans most regularly spend money on groceries, phone bills, utilities, gasoline and rent/mortgage payments.

    Grocery bills frustrate Americans more than any other regular expense. Utilities, rent/mortgage payments, gasoline and insurance payments round out the top five most annoying expenses.

That is most of the country.

Unsurprisingly, younger generations are being hit particularly hard by the pain of inflation…

    Financial stress levels are highest among millennials (77%), followed by Generation Z (75%) and Generation X (74%). Baby boomers reported experiencing the least financial stress, although at 59% it was still more than half of those surveyed.

Those that follow my work regularly know that I tend to rant about rising prices at the grocery store.

Sometimes it is hard for me to believe that prices have gotten so high, and it appears that a lot of people out there agree with me.

Another recent survey found that 80 percent of Americans have observed a “notable increase” in grocery store prices…

    According to a study by Qualtrics on behalf of Intuit Credit Karma, 80% of Americans say they have felt a “notable increase” in grocery costs in recent years. More than a quarter of respondents said the increased cost has led them to occasionally skip meals, while about one-third said they spend more than 60% of their monthly income on mandatory expenses such as food, utilities and rent.

Food has certainly become ridiculously expensive, but we actually spend far more money on housing.

Today, the typical household spends about 12 percent of total income on food and about 33 percent of total income on housing…

    According to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the top three annual expenses for the average American household in 2022 (the most recent data available) were housing (33.3%), transportation (16.8%) and food (12.8%).

    For most Americans, spending money in these areas is unavoidable.

Housing costs have been rising much faster than the overall rate of inflation, and we just learned that home prices reached yet another new all-time record high last month…

    Home prices hit a new high in June for the second straight month, the latest sign that the housing market is unaffordable to millions of Americans.

    The spring home-buying season, usually the busiest time of year for the housing market, was a dud this year. Home sales declined in June for the fourth straight time on a monthly basis. The combination of high prices and elevated mortgage rates has made homeownership less attractive to renters and deterred current homeowners from moving.

Meanwhile, homelessness in the United States is at the highest level ever recorded and it has been growing at the fastest pace ever recorded.

We just can’t keep going on like this.

Something has to give.

It appears to be inevitable that all of this economic pain will have a dramatic impact on the upcoming election.  At this point, approximately three out of every five Americans believe that we are already in a recession right now…

    You don’t need to be a financial genius to know that times are tough for plenty of Americans. With that in mind, a majority of people actually think the economy is doing even worse than the “experts” say it is. Three in five people believe that the U.S. is currently in a recession, even though we’re not officially in one according to the financial definition.

    The survey of 2,000 Americans explored what’s driving this lack of consumer confidence in the economy. Inflation and the rising cost of living (68%) top the list of reasons why respondents believe the U.S. is in a recession, followed by friends and family members complaining about money (50%).

It is not an accident that this has happened.

For more than a decade, people like me have been relentlessly warning that the decisions that our leaders were making would have disastrous consequences, and that is exactly what has happened.

And if we stay on the path that we are on, it won’t be too long before we witness a meltdown of absolutely epic proportions.

*  *  *

Michael’s new book entitled “Chaos” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.»


https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/percentage-americans-worry-they-wont-be-able-pay-their-bills-higher-it-was-during
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37084 em: 2024-08-01 02:27:01 »
Um peq. art. int. e mto recente na Nature (25.VII.2024), acerca da importância de pensar
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

I. I. Kaspov

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Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

vbm

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37086 em: 2024-08-01 20:23:13 »
As pessoas têm de aprender a distinguir o trabalho morto,
– o embutido em qualquer ferramenta, a tecnologia –,
do trabalho vivo, o valor acrescentado a algo
ou do serviço realizado a alguém, – o
experiencid value of the work –,
ainda que em ambos esteja
embutida a inteligência.

O facto de a Inteligência Artificial
permitir automatizar certos
segmentos habituais,
lógicos, de um
processo
laboral
ou de reflexão
de um esquema de procedimento,
mais não faz do que colocar
trabalho morto (capital)
à nossa disposição
para uma maior
produtividade
por unidade
de esforço
criativo.

Pensar e sobreviver é
potência inalienável
de viventes imersos
na esfera biológica
que os condiciona
e de que dependem.


I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37087 em: 2024-08-01 20:27:18 »
Pois, é isso...   :)
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37088 em: 2024-08-04 13:21:59 »
Sinais inquietantes...


«Buffett Calls The Top: Berkshire Quietly Dumps Half Its Apple Shares Amid Unprecedented Selling Spree

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by Tyler Durden

Saturday, Aug 03, 2024 - 07:35 PM


When yesterday we said, when discussing Buffett's ongoing liquidation of his Bank of America stake, that "Berkshire's rising cash stockpiles merely reflect the firm's inability to find deals in today's overvalued and weak economic environment", little did we know just how accurate that would be, because fast-forwarding just one day later we find that far from only dumping Bank of America, the 93-year-old Omaha billionaire had been busy quietly dumping his most iconic holding in an unprecedented selling spree that sent Berkshire's cash pile soaring by a record $88 billion to an all time high $277 billion at the end of Q2.

As shown in the chart below, in the second quarter (which ended June 30, and thus just two weeks after the Apple's Developer Conference which took place on June 10 and which was - at least on the day of - a total bust), Berkshire sold a net $75.5 billion worth of stock, the bulk of which we now know, came from Buffett's liquidation of half his Apple shares.

While there was no 13F filed yet to go with the Berkshire's 10Q, the company did provide a snapshot of its top holdings, revealing that as of June 30 it held only $84.2 billion in Apple stock, down sharply from $135.4 billion as of March 31 and $174.3 billion as of Dec 31, 2023. This translates into just 400 million shares of AAPL held as of June 30, down almost 50% from 789.4 million as of March 31 and 905.6 million as the end of 2023.

The rest of Berkshire's top 5 holdings (Bank of America, American Express, Coca Cola and Chevron) was left untouched in Q2, meaning that Buffett clearly decided that it was time for Apple to go (we have since learned that subsequent to the end of Q2, Buffett also started to dump a large portion of his Bank of America shares where he is the single largest shareholder).

While Berkshire's cash balance rose by a record $88 billion - where proceeds from the sale of Apple were the bulk of the new cash - the company also generated substantial cash from its own operations, and in Q2 Berkshire reported operating earnings of $11.6 billion, up from $10 billion for the same period a year ago.

Berkshire has for years struggled to find ways to deploy its mountain of cash in a sluggish deal environment, lamenting the lack of cheap opportunities. At the firm’s annual shareholder meeting in May, Buffett said he wasn’t in a rush to spend “unless we think we’re doing something that has very little risk and can make us a lot of money.” It now appears that not only was Buffett not in a rush to spend, but taking advantage of the AI bubble, he has been aggressively liquidating his biggest holding.

What is perhaps most remarkable is when and how Buffett dumped half his Apple holdings: Berkshire managed to offload a stunning $84 billion, or some 390 million shares, in AAPL at a time when the stock was appreciating rapidly, and especially after the meltup following the WWDC24 developer conference. In other words, the smart money was furiously dumping to retail, because as we noted at the time, hedge funds were certainly not buying tech at this time, as we reported on July 1 in "Getting Out Of Dodge: Hedge Funds Are Selling And Shorting Stocks At The Fastest Pace In Two Years", almost as if they had notice that Buffett was dumping...

It also makes one wonder if Buffett may not have had something to do with Apple's bizarre performance after the WWDC24 conference. As a reminder, the kneejerk response to Tim Cook's "earthshattering" reveal of a chatGPT Siri was a huge dud, with the stock dumping on the day of WWDC24.

It wasn't until the next day when, thanks to a relentless barrage of bullish sellside reports and kickstarted by a furious buyback order from the company itself, the stock proceeded to surge and regain the world's most valuable slot from Microsoft. Almost makes one wonder if Buffett didn't call in a few favors from his banker friends on this one...

Finally, it's not just AAPL that Buffett believes is overvalued and is aggressively dumping: the billionaire clearly believes the entire market is way expensive, and Berkshire bought back only $345 million of its own shares during the quarter, the lowest amount since the company changed its buyback policy in 2018. It's hardly a surprise why:  as we noted in "Berkshire's Growing Cash Pile Has A Hidden Message On Stocks" the Buffett Indicator has rarely signaled a more expensive market.

Bottom line: unlike October 2008, when Buffett led the clarion call to "Buy American", this time he is selling American at a never before seen pace.

Are you?

One thing we know, Buffett is fearful.»


https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/buffett-calls-top-berkshire-quietly-dumps-half-its-apple-shares-amid-record-liquidation
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37089 em: 2024-08-05 17:45:50 »
Talks about fear...   :-\

«Peak Fear?

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by The Market Ear

Monday, Aug 05, 2024 - 17:17»

https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/peak-fear
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37090 em: 2024-08-05 17:47:55 »
&

«Animal Spirits Were Just Taken Out Back And Shot

quoth the raven's Photo

by quoth the raven

Monday, Aug 05, 2024 - 3:49

Submitted by QTR's Fringe Finance

While I have no idea what the U.S. market will look like by the cash open tomorrow morning, one thing is for sure: panic in Japan has continued, and it is setting off a long-overdue psychological time bomb in the United States.

On Friday, I noted that the drastic sell-off taking place was a result of three things: Japan unexpectedly hiking rates into a slowdown, the tensions and uncertainty surrounding the escalation between Israel and Iran, and just enough macroeconomic data in the Friday jobs report and 4.3% unemployment rate to kindly remind U.S. investors that a soft landing is all but a mathematical impossibility.

As of late Sunday night, none of these issues have been addressed, and until they are, I expect the turmoil to continue. By the time the market opens in the US in about 10 hours, the Bank of Japan or the Fed may have tried to step in and talk their way out of the situation, either directly or through reporters and banks who act as their respective mouthpieces.

Regardless of what interventions central banks may try to put in place tonight or tomorrow, there’s no denying the fact that, in my opinion, confidence in the market has officially broken.

For two years, I have been warning about the obvious reality of things: that hiking rates at an accelerated pace on the largest debt bubble in history is a one-way ticket to economic calamity.

Interest Rate Hikes: Comparing Their Speed from 1988-2023

And, for two years, everybody has pretended that one plus one doesn’t, in fact, equal two, and that somehow the Fed had harnessed a superpower that was going to allow them to perform an end-around, avoiding the natural laws of math and economics, and engineer a “soft landing”.

It takes a special type of hubris to believe this, given the definitive nature of the numbers involved, but that’s the specialty of most financial media.

Make no mistake about it, however, that fairytale has just ended in a big way. At this point, it doesn’t matter whether...(READ THIS FULL ARTICLE HERE).

Contributor posts published on Zero Hedge do not necessarily represent the views and opinions of Zero Hedge, and are not selected, edited or screened by Zero Hedge editors.»


https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2024-08-04/animal-spirits-were-just-taken-out-back-and-shot
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37091 em: 2024-08-05 17:50:04 »
Até o Público aborda o tema:


«Bolsas abrem em forte queda nos EUA com receios de recessão

Mercados accionistas nos EUA acompanham descida já registada na Ásia e na Europa, num ambiente marcado pelos receios de uma recessão na economia mundial.

Sérgio Aníbal

    Bolsas afundam com receios sobre economia global»

https://www.publico.pt/
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37092 em: 2024-08-08 01:48:57 »
Será??...   :-\

«Il paraît que c'est le moment d’investir dans l’écologie avec le mini krach boursier»
« Última modificação: 2024-08-08 01:49:38 por I. I. Kaspov »
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

vbm

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37093 em: 2024-08-08 13:18:21 »
Até o Público aborda o tema:


«Bolsas abrem em forte queda nos EUA com receios de recessão

Mercados accionistas nos EUA acompanham descida já registada na Ásia e na Europa, num ambiente marcado pelos receios de uma recessão na economia mundial.

Sérgio Aníbal

    Bolsas afundam com receios sobre economia global»

https://www.publico.pt/

Tomam-nos por tolos.

Querem-nos convencer
na máxima indeterminação
política mundial como a de presente,
que já não há queda da bolsa. Mas
que estupidez, fazerem-nos
de estúpidos.

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37094 em: 2024-08-08 15:40:45 »
Bom, pelo menos o Au tem subido 1 pouco e as acções e o crude parecem estar a recuperar alg. coisa...    :-\
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...

I. I. Kaspov

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #37095 em: 2024-09-05 03:06:17 »
WD!
Gloria in excelsis Deo; Qui docet, discit; Jai guru dev; There's more than meets the eye; I don't know where but she sends me there; Let's make Rome great again!
Oui, nous savons que la fin s'approche...