A questão Sniper é que parece que os fundamentais não ajudam. Segundo o ZH (vale o que vale, pois muitas vezes são exagerados e um bocado tendenciosos) a questão é que a produção está forte, existem descontos em máximos históricos para certos compradores na zona asiática (penso que feito pela Arábia Saudita e talvez outros) e os stocks (será a tradução correcta para "inventory"??) estão altos.
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http://247wallst.com/energy-economy/2015/02/11/crude-oil-inventory-jumps-pushes-price-even-lower/ (11 Fevereiro)
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its weekly petroleum status report Wednesday morning. U.S. commercial crude inventories increased by 4.9 million barrels last week, maintaining a total U.S. commercial crude inventory of 417.9 million barrels, the fifth consecutive week of a higher total than at any time in at least 80 years.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/oil-falls-on-investor-caution-over-recent-rally-1423551524“The inventory growing to that extent—that definitely outlines the problem to the market,” said Andy Lebow, senior vice president for energy at Jefferies LLC. “We’re going to have to slog through all this inventory.”
The increase in world-wide stockpiles will be “quite dramatic” in the coming months, keeping prices in check, Mr. Taylor said in London Tuesday.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/oil-fluctuates-before-u-s-inventory-data-1423632582“It’s an interesting push and pull…between the rig counts that are coming off extremely fast and the inventories that keep building,” said Matt Sallee, portfolio manager at Tortoise Capital Advisors, which oversees about $16.9 billion in energy-related investments. Mr. Sallee expects U.S. oil-production growth to level off before midyear.
Domestic oil production rose by 49,000 barrels a day to 9.2 million barrels a day in the week, the EIA said. In weekly data going back to 1983, that’s an all-time high.
Until stored supplies start shrinking, “it’s really going to become increasingly difficult for this market to rally,”